Traffic evidence and modelling

Junction modelling and capacity assessment.

Junction capacity modelling with Junctions (ARCADY and PICADY) and LinSig, calibrated properly and explained in plain English.

Also known as: junction modelling, junction capacity, capacity assessment, Junctions software, Junctions 10, Junctions 11

What we do

What’s included.

Where a scheme adds traffic to a busy junction, the council may ask for capacity modelling. The result helps answer whether any effect is severe under NPPF policy TR6(4), and what mitigation, if any, is justified.

  • Junctions (ARCADY and PICADY) models
  • LinSig signal models
  • Base model validation against queue surveys
  • Future year with and without the scheme
  • Mitigation testing
  • Clear summary tables and plain-English findings
How we approach it

Straightforward, proportionate, agreed early.

Only where needed

We model the junctions the scheme genuinely affects.

Validated

Base models checked against observed queues, so officers trust the results.

Explained

What the numbers mean for the severe test, in plain English.

FAQ

Questions we get asked

What do RFC and degree of saturation mean?

Ratio of flow to capacity (RFC) is used for roundabouts and priority junctions, and degree of saturation for signals. Values near or above 0.85 or 90% suggest a junction is approaching capacity.

Does a junction over capacity mean refusal?

No. The test is whether the residual cumulative effect is severe, which is a judgement, not a single number.

Which software do you use?

Junctions (ARCADY and PICADY) from TRL, and LinSig from JCT.

Related

Often needed alongside.

Transport planning A to Z →
In practice

When modelling is needed, and when it is not

Junction modelling is needed when a scheme adds a meaningful amount of traffic to a junction that is already busy. For many smaller schemes, the extra trips are too few to change how a junction works, and a short explanation is enough.

Where modelling is needed, we agree the junctions, the scenarios and the inputs with the highway authority first, so the results answer the question the officer is asking.

  • Base model checked against observed queues.
  • Future year tested with and without the development.
  • Mitigation tested only where the results show it is needed.

Last reviewed October 2026 by Ripple Development Planning. Policy and guidance change; for advice on a specific site, send us the details.

Further reading

From our insights.

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